Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
5.2 miles North-West of Olancha
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
5.2 miles North-West of Olancha
36.3489°N, 118.0462°W
Forecast Time Window
26th of June 2026
Jun 26, 2026 12:55:04 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
33h 35m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
117.0 km
17.0 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
0.0 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.08
Predicted M2.18 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
17.4 km
Pred. 9.9 km vs actual 7.5 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
df379c47ebe73d1a6ba189dc504db81b39348db226cbb3c08407bf3add5698d2
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260624_201923_pred-36.35--118.05-20260626T1255
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 25, 2026 03:19:26 PST
Source Batch
20260624_201923_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-25 08:31:36.263250+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.