Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
16.6 miles East of Lakehead
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
16.6 miles East of Lakehead
40.8585°N, 122.0750°W
Forecast Time Window
26th of June 2026
Jun 26, 2026 21:01:04 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
41h 41m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
194.8 km
94.8 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
1.1 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.09
Predicted M2.09 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
11.7 km
Pred. 5.2 km vs actual 6.5 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
12b402aa5be69816f4d77f25c853821105e2c9b457a8e6bedccb3f1797b9d501
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260624_201923_pred-40.86--122.08-20260626T2101
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 25, 2026 03:19:26 PST
Source Batch
20260624_201923_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-25 08:31:36.263250+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.