Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
1.7 miles South-East of Loma Linda
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
1.7 miles South-East of Loma Linda
34.0336°N, 117.2374°W
Forecast Time Window
12th of July 2026
Jul 12, 2026 05:28:53 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
20.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
363h 12m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
73.3 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
6.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.28
Predicted M2.48 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
27.1 km
Pred. 20.3 km vs actual 6.8 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
aa39c79de6ebdd0830fc1cca20ec916e9b0248e74f30dc391a6714b6e22543db
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260626_191606_pred-34.03--117.24-20260712T0528
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 27, 2026 02:16:10 PST
Source Batch
20260626_191606_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-29 06:57:30.704551+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.