Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
12.2 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
12.2 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.3041°N, 119.0407°W
Forecast Time Window
5th of April 2023
Apr 05, 2023 08:20:13 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
115.2 km
15.2 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
29.1 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.22
Predicted M2.32 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
16.6 km
Pred. 9.6 km vs actual 7.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
9fc28007f848d1ae58812d056a5e75eb0bca5478b12d837fc1b2d0921d03a9e0
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260629_001042_pred-39.30--119.04-20230405T0820
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 29, 2026 07:10:47 PST
Source Batch
20260629_001042_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-29 08:31:26.994283+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.