Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
12.2 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
12.2 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.3041°N, 119.0407°W
Forecast Time Window
11th of July 2026
Jul 11, 2026 19:56:29 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
300h 22m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
114.6 km
14.6 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
1.1 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.22
Predicted M2.32 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
19.2 km
Pred. 9.6 km vs actual 9.6 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
e9363df961e3128291bf718137ace5700ddc7784de573717687054a772b871cf
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260629_003422_pred-39.30--119.04-20260711T1956
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jun 29, 2026 07:34:27 PST
Source Batch
20260629_003422_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-06-30 06:53:59.210842+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.