Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.7
22.0 miles South-East of Empire
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
22.0 miles South-East of Empire
40.3189°N, 119.1013°W
Forecast Time Window
3rd of July 2026
Jul 03, 2026 07:21:12 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.7
Predicted value
Focal Depth
10.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
38h 16m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
102.6 km
2.6 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
4.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.28
Predicted M2.68 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
15.5 km
Pred. 10.2 km vs actual 5.3 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
ed3aba85197914ef4072a044e2871a455ae94b77b9ff2090916ea279a197c5fa
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260708_123400_pred-40.32--119.10-20260703T0721
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 01, 2026 17:04:18 PST
Source Batch
20260708_123400_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-13 13:30:55.147754+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.