Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
9.0 miles South-East of Silver Springs
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
9.0 miles South-East of Silver Springs
39.3489°N, 119.0775°W
Forecast Time Window
7th of August 2026
Aug 07, 2026 01:34:59 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
568h 27m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
20.6 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
48.0 h
12.0 h over 36 h limit
Magnitude Error
0.11
Predicted M3.41 vs actual M3.3
Depth Error
10.9 km
Pred. 8.0 km vs actual 3.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
6cf68026b4362c4faadb76bf17d6ee58be83fc31bfb0bb8b3887e3427e783e5e
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260714_020702_pred-39.35--119.08-20260807T0134
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 14, 2026 09:07:05 PST
Source Batch
20260714_020702_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-16 11:37:15.967622+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.