Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending
Prediction Pending
This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.
Predicted Magnitude
M4.5
130.9 miles South-West of Bodega Bay
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
130.9 miles South-West of Bodega Bay
36.8659°N, 124.5605°W
Forecast Time Window
4th of September 2026
Sep 04, 2026 08:17:00 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M4.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
16.7 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
10.0
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1199h 38m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
84df3a86093de4eda612b2eb8f63810db1cf45356f5ea95fdd0f04d411b23a43
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260716_013812_pred-36.87--124.56-20260904T0817
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 16, 2026 08:38:15 PST
Source Batch
20260716_013812_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-16 11:37:19.224745+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.