Permanent Prediction Record
◯
Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
6.5 miles South-East of Gilroy
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
6.5 miles South-East of Gilroy
36.9286°N, 121.5011°W
Forecast Time Window
11th of September 2026
Sep 11, 2026 20:47:53 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
12.2 km
Below surface
Confidence Score (EPS)
25.0
Earthquake Potential Score - higher = greater confidence
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1380h 9m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256) RETROSPECTIVE
d778a94d2c1653aa66a4c95a7725efb4625b3f89c54ed60aed891b39846f7cf4
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260716_013812_pred-36.93--121.50-20260911T2047
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 16, 2026 08:38:15 PST
Source Batch
20260716_013812_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-16 11:37:19.224745+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

View Track Record Live Predictions