Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.7
87.2 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
87.2 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
32.6741°N, 119.1849°W
Forecast Time Window
22nd of July 2026
Jul 22, 2026 11:58:33 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.7
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
96h 31m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
144.0 km
44.0 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
26.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.49
Predicted M2.69 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
13.1 km
Pred. 5.3 km vs actual 7.8 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
e8d5a25b8b4430475b3f98af1022304699dc39d914ff1495bb6e89560a76ba0e
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260718_042646_pred-32.67--119.18-20260722T1158
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 18, 2026 11:26:48 PST
Source Batch
20260718_042646_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-18 23:41:25.217274+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.