Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M5.3
10.4 miles South-West of Goleta
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.4 miles South-West of Goleta
34.3045°N, 119.9158°W
Forecast Time Window
13th of May 2028
May 13, 2028 09:37:55 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M5.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
15946h 0m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256) RETROSPECTIVE
61a91dfce187a5e7993168cbd4e798aed8a16f86b09709ce467f6bbc924bee12
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260718_163707_pred-34.30--119.92-20280513T0937
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 18, 2026 23:37:09 PST
Source Batch
20260718_163707_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-18 23:41:30.694260+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

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