Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
10.5 miles South-East of Bridgeport
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.5 miles South-East of Bridgeport
38.1155°N, 119.1576°W
Forecast Time Window
18th of July 2026
Jul 18, 2026 21:40:26 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
168.3 km
68.3 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
12.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.12
Predicted M2.12 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
9.2 km
Pred. 4.3 km vs actual 4.9 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
f340d90b48df86c10ed89439335676da5fd1331978f7dcb2d1278f69c2b3122a
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260718_220321_pred-38.12--119.16-20260718T2140
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 19, 2026 05:03:24 PST
Source Batch
20260718_220321_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-19 17:22:52.062655+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.