Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
11.1 miles East of Forest Falls
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
11.1 miles East of Forest Falls
34.0502°N, 116.7294°W
Forecast Time Window
25th of July 2026
Jul 25, 2026 10:11:55 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
14.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
71h 46m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
140.7 km
40.7 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
8.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.20
Predicted M3.2 vs actual M3.0
Depth Error
26.6 km
Pred. 14.3 km vs actual 12.3 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
922a4e698cf00b2f8ed0d8c9b95df69fd0426c0c3fe977acb5c2b773cc57b6c4
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260721_194252_pred-34.05--116.73-20260725T1011
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 22, 2026 10:25:41 PST
Source Batch
20260721_194252_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-22 10:25:48.048456+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.