Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
27.8 miles North of Westwood
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
27.8 miles North of Westwood
40.7037°N, 120.9627°W
Forecast Time Window
23rd of July 2026
Jul 23, 2026 15:19:48 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
18.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
9h 50m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
98.0 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
32.0 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.32
Predicted M2.52 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
27.5 km
Pred. 18.6 km vs actual 8.9 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
237c460d192fbc34b658fc773ee3f72c981583e7c43e06e65f77cf5d85708de9
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260722_101004_pred-40.70--120.96-20260723T1519
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 23, 2026 05:28:50 PST
Source Batch
20260722_101004_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-22 19:26:30.412694+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.