Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
14.4 miles South-East of Wonder Valley
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
14.4 miles South-East of Wonder Valley
34.0502°N, 115.7431°W
Forecast Time Window
27th of July 2026
Jul 27, 2026 22:22:45 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
112h 53m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
112.6 km
12.6 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
1.4 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.62
Predicted M3.12 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
15.4 km
Pred. 4.8 km vs actual 10.6 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
eb40abbbb4dbae567f3cf8dd4cd4ba172432b78b58efe44bdef434f436fb69a3
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260722_111535_pred-34.05--115.74-20260727T2222
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 23, 2026 05:28:50 PST
Source Batch
20260722_111535_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-22 19:26:30.412694+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.