Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
9.0 miles North-East of Banning
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
9.0 miles North-East of Banning
33.9901°N, 116.7400°W
Forecast Time Window
24th of July 2026
Jul 24, 2026 17:06:22 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
18.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
5h 52m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
32.9 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
17.4 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.32
Predicted M2.42 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
33.9 km
Pred. 18.6 km vs actual 15.3 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
3345542ef9ac43fe95caf7dd35893996ff75ab9b40ccddff5b218b9a384ddbfd
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260722_233339_pred-33.99--116.74-20260724T1706
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 24, 2026 11:13:36 PST
Source Batch
20260722_233339_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-24 11:13:37.421847+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.