Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
24.9 miles South-West of Currant
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
24.9 miles South-West of Currant
38.4057°N, 115.6767°W
Forecast Time Window
6th of August 2026
Aug 06, 2026 18:29:32 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
8.5 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
323h 33m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
54.7 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
14.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.42
Predicted M3.22 vs actual M2.8
Depth Error
8.5 km
Pred. 8.5 km vs actual 0.0 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
af061807ef6d06c09a09a99b0ec2af2b4a7e44ffae8774774cd4195645ad53b5
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260723_003953_pred-38.41--115.68-20260806T1829
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 24, 2026 06:55:48 PST
Source Batch
20260723_003953_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-23 08:52:57.890733+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.