Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
17.3 miles East of Bridgeport
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
17.3 miles East of Bridgeport
38.2178°N, 118.9161°W
Forecast Time Window
7th of August 2026
Aug 07, 2026 17:28:46 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
346h 32m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
271.4 km
171.4 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
1.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.06
Predicted M3.16 vs actual M3.1
Depth Error
19.1 km
Pred. 9.1 km vs actual 10.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
7ed9de41082af38fbacb6029cb3e877bb17e56f48030dc8834b6e9d88c16ec6d
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260723_170053_pred-38.22--118.92-20260807T1728
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 24, 2026 06:55:48 PST
Source Batch
20260723_170053_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-24 00:05:26.008350+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.