Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
17.2 miles East of Slab City
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
17.2 miles East of Slab City
33.3511°N, 115.1890°W
Forecast Time Window
31st of July 2026
Jul 31, 2026 04:56:37 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
161h 56m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
126.6 km
26.6 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
35.9 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.05
Predicted M3.15 vs actual M3.2
Depth Error
11.7 km
Pred. 6.7 km vs actual 5.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
46ed55eac44114cf8a94b4e393880a01699743bc6df47ecbbb5949c54df054ca
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
20260724_030938_pred-33.35--115.19-20260731T0456
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 24, 2026 11:00:01 PST
Source Batch
20260724_030938_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-24 10:13:10.797940+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.