Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
60.3 miles South-West of La Jolla
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
60.3 miles South-West of La Jolla
32.2652°N, 118.0581°W
Forecast Time Window
2nd of August 2026
Aug 02, 2026 21:54:01 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
14.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
18h 59m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
123.7 km
23.7 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
11.1 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.05
Predicted M2.15 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
30.1 km
Pred. 14.1 km vs actual 16.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
ec759aa85d2c6b5c9d7b785a8e92dc67eb49cd4345e65356882c7590ec64693d
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-32.27--118.06-t10333
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 02, 2026 02:54:38 PST
Source Batch
20260801_172642_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-02 02:54:39.445982+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.