Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
33.6 miles South-East of Calexico
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
33.6 miles South-East of Calexico
32.3033°N, 115.1328°W
Forecast Time Window
13th of August 2026
Aug 13, 2026 15:54:07 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
6.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
30h 29m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
123.7 km
23.7 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
6.4 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.27
Predicted M2.23 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
11.4 km
Pred. 6.4 km vs actual 5.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
bb814ca4be926e0d33a2304888c04d34e862f6aed0d41c9bdef756e61a7cffbf
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-32.30--115.13-t10339
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 12, 2026 09:24:27 PST
Source Batch
20260811_235234_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-12 09:24:28.760918+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.