Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.9
138.0 miles South-West of Oxnard
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
138.0 miles South-West of Oxnard
32.3559°N, 120.1027°W
Forecast Time Window
25th of August 2026
Aug 25, 2026 12:33:21 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.9
Predicted value
Focal Depth
13.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
5h 56m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
388.3 km
263.3 km over 125 km limit
Time Error
7.7 h
Within 48 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.06
Predicted M2.94 vs actual M3.0
Depth Error
18.9 km
Pred. 13.9 km vs actual 5.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
f39ce23b1b01fc5ba19b46c9610c89d6a59d1088231a7be8627573db2dc6c759
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-32.36--120.10-t10345
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 25, 2026 06:37:07 PST
Source Batch
20260824_202023_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-25 06:37:08.205878+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.