Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.7
104.7 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
104.7 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
32.3990°N, 119.2174°W
Forecast Time Window
10th of August 2026
Aug 10, 2026 13:21:03 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.7
Predicted value
Focal Depth
1.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
24h 14m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
264.9 km
164.9 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
30.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.01
Predicted M2.71 vs actual M2.7
Depth Error
7.2 km
Pred. 1.8 km vs actual 5.3 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
198c7c02698f6f8777e36dad2bd1568f73710e2a8ccc868dcf03ac2db39b3cde
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-32.40--119.22-t10337
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 09, 2026 13:06:15 PST
Source Batch
20260809_033314_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-09 13:06:16.783992+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.