Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.7
104.1 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
104.1 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
32.4072°N, 119.2140°W
Forecast Time Window
10th of August 2026
Aug 10, 2026 14:23:23 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.7
Predicted value
Focal Depth
1.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
21h 38m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
264.2 km
164.2 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
31.8 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.01
Predicted M2.71 vs actual M2.7
Depth Error
7.2 km
Pred. 1.8 km vs actual 5.3 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
20a7d407ef2c06b760c6171b05e0340df40785223c3566b8ab1c3980f615e37d
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-32.41--119.21-t10337
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 09, 2026 16:44:47 PST
Source Batch
20260809_071135_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-09 16:44:47.664114+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.