Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
102.6 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
102.6 miles South-West of Rancho Palos Verdes
32.4291°N, 119.2100°W
Forecast Time Window
7th of August 2026
Aug 07, 2026 23:41:34 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
47h 28m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
157.4 km
57.4 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
13.0 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.93
Predicted M3.13 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
5.7 km
Pred. 4.9 km vs actual 0.8 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
854b0292e0dda1f0fde13f0c6ef9662468e1aadf1a32608679f01c626d1d85d0
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-32.43--119.21-t10336
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 06, 2026 00:12:45 PST
Source Batch
20260805_144116_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-06 00:12:46.609111+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.