Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
8.5 miles South of Bombay Beach
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
8.5 miles South of Bombay Beach
33.2350°N, 115.7813°W
Forecast Time Window
7th of August 2026
Aug 07, 2026 04:06:27 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
162h 33m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
17.7 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
6.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
1.02
Predicted M3.12 vs actual M2.1
- 0.02 over limit
Depth Error
7.5 km
Pred. 4.8 km vs actual 2.7 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
6ebd0404243c5e3bf8c2ac57fe65bcbb6e080ca3ec4040be8406e519b58624a8
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-33.23--115.78-t10336
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 31, 2026 09:33:12 PST
Source Batch
20260731_012013_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-30 19:52:09.559882+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.