Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
22.0 miles South-West of Huntington Beach
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
22.0 miles South-West of Huntington Beach
33.3746°N, 118.1688°W
Forecast Time Window
8th of August 2026
Aug 08, 2026 13:12:24 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1h 47m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
22.4 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
0.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.02
Predicted M2.22 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
10.4 km
Pred. 9.6 km vs actual 0.8 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
6b22f37e76a3154402e6c2e43b00bb0fc83c032fca4b17e99151e2fd5278e49a
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-33.37--118.17-t10336
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 08, 2026 11:25:16 PST
Source Batch
20260808_015312_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-08 11:25:18.478455+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.