Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
19.2 miles South-West of Huntington Beach
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
19.2 miles South-West of Huntington Beach
33.4105°N, 118.1454°W
Forecast Time Window
2nd of August 2026
Aug 02, 2026 10:02:46 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
11.8 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
10h 36m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
9.7 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
11.9 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.02
Predicted M2.22 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
20.7 km
Pred. 11.8 km vs actual 8.9 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
c411f1fb2ff55bc5f06acef2a5b8e794db9a296bc0005dfb38912e503e3e34ca
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-33.41--118.15-t10333
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 01, 2026 23:26:38 PST
Source Batch
20260801_135710_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-01 16:26:20.565248+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.