Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
9.1 miles North-East of Banning
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
9.1 miles North-East of Banning
34.0217°N, 116.7678°W
Forecast Time Window
1st of August 2026
Aug 01, 2026 22:34:59 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
18.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
35.2 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
10.9 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.22
Predicted M2.42 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
34.8 km
Pred. 18.6 km vs actual 16.2 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
26e3fafac6ff9d607aa13c01a5afc72de400c46326154d25afb383f4206655de
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-34.02--116.77-t10333
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 01, 2026 23:26:38 PST
Source Batch
20260801_135710_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-01 16:26:20.565248+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.