Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
0.6 miles South-East of Loma Linda
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
0.6 miles South-East of Loma Linda
34.0424°N, 117.2549°W
Forecast Time Window
2nd of August 2026
Aug 02, 2026 17:04:51 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.3
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.2 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
76h 7m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
57.9 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
7.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.09
Predicted M2.29 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
20.4 km
Pred. 4.2 km vs actual 16.2 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
9e770b63b77aa791bf23c4e00b09ffde26579225f68d902e1d890b5063d822c5
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-34.04--117.25-t10333
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 30, 2026 12:57:10 PST
Source Batch
20260728_221221_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-30 12:57:11.195655+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.