Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
3.1 miles South-East of Fontana
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
3.1 miles South-East of Fontana
34.0578°N, 117.4009°W
Forecast Time Window
8th of August 2026
Aug 08, 2026 02:26:27 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
13h 18m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
92.5 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
10.3 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.05
Predicted M2.15 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
5.9 km
Pred. 5.1 km vs actual 0.8 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
37e09bfcf5a1d347368c816a5e4ecd2a2642d63ab209d820d6e53eece4350fbf
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-34.06--117.40-t10336
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 07, 2026 13:08:18 PST
Source Batch
20260807_033527_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-07 13:08:19.902921+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.