Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
0.9 miles South-West of West Covina
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
0.9 miles South-West of West Covina
34.0606°N, 117.9503°W
Forecast Time Window
2nd of August 2026
Aug 02, 2026 21:57:04 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.4
Predicted value
Focal Depth
18.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
1h 29m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
37.1 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
5.9 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.08
Predicted M2.42 vs actual M2.5
Depth Error
29.8 km
Pred. 18.6 km vs actual 11.2 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
6ab56787c6c2c0c62849704d74a156558e7870a60f14b9349924b21a7432c2e4
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-34.06--117.95-t10333
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 02, 2026 20:27:13 PST
Source Batch
20260802_105334_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-02 20:27:14.823204+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.