Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
19.1 miles North-West of Rice
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
19.1 miles North-West of Rice
34.1747°N, 115.2882°W
Forecast Time Window
7th of August 2026
Aug 07, 2026 22:30:24 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
13h 6m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
128.0 km
28.0 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
3.2 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.15
Predicted M2.15 vs actual M2.0
Depth Error
7.2 km
Pred. 5.1 km vs actual 2.1 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
4c4c80fddc39d66f6c8531bce520b1be282ffe9dcc03aa7463bea060d3e03ad3
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-34.17--115.29-t10336
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 07, 2026 09:24:07 PST
Source Batch
20260806_235136_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-07 09:24:08.811392+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.