Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.0
2.3 miles South-West of Santa Clarita
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
2.3 miles South-West of Santa Clarita
34.3639°N, 118.5643°W
Forecast Time Window
5th of August 2026
Aug 05, 2026 22:21:52 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.0
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
30h 51m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
127.8 km
27.8 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
5.6 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.29
Predicted M2.99 vs actual M2.7
Depth Error
8.8 km
Pred. 5.1 km vs actual 3.7 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
4a5f6124391953e3c9b963ca87b8281147aacb6cf9d259c61efe245a7234a5ad
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-34.36--118.56-t10335
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 04, 2026 15:29:55 PST
Source Batch
20260804_055552_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-04 08:15:38.108866+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.