Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.7
101.0 miles South-West of San Simeon
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
101.0 miles South-West of San Simeon
34.4248°N, 122.1778°W
Forecast Time Window
5th of August 2026
Aug 05, 2026 17:33:14 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.7
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
36h 54m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
168.7 km
68.7 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
21.6 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.11
Predicted M2.71 vs actual M2.6
Depth Error
12.3 km
Pred. 5.1 km vs actual 7.2 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
c6b6b0a78a38b3061bd4cd15a762423d59572a3cce6514a687777fec747c7bc4
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-34.42--122.18-t10335
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 04, 2026 04:38:43 PST
Source Batch
20260803_190534_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-04 04:38:44.106216+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.