Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.7
4.4 miles South-East of Acton
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
4.4 miles South-East of Acton
34.4273°N, 118.1397°W
Forecast Time Window
6th of August 2026
Aug 06, 2026 11:16:39 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.7
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
40h 13m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
104.3 km
4.3 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
18.5 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.01
Predicted M2.71 vs actual M2.7
Depth Error
8.8 km
Pred. 5.1 km vs actual 3.7 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
50a769f37d62a9a864b443b9edf982d83a9c45c7d1d634a0124fe12fb7edb82e
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-34.43--118.14-t10335
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 04, 2026 19:03:26 PST
Source Batch
20260804_093153_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-04 19:03:27.895782+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.