Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
6.6 miles North-East of Santa Clarita
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
6.6 miles North-East of Santa Clarita
34.4302°N, 118.4364°W
Forecast Time Window
9th of August 2026
Aug 09, 2026 07:05:08 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
41h 56m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Matched Earthquake
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
A recorded earthquake fell within every matching tolerance, so this prediction is graded a true positive. Each parameter below shows how close the match was.
Distance Error
97.6 km
Within 100 km tolerance
Time Error
18.4 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.93
Predicted M3.13 vs actual M2.2
Depth Error
5.8 km
Pred. 5.0 km vs actual 0.8 km
Matched Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
59caf5baff96a9f911983b4314872ceece7b93badde6cbe5b23738d0669c7034
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-34.43--118.44-t10337
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 07, 2026 13:08:18 PST
Source Batch
20260807_033527_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-07 13:08:19.902921+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.