Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
3.1 miles South-East of Acton
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
3.1 miles South-East of Acton
34.4421°N, 118.1541°W
Forecast Time Window
10th of August 2026
Aug 10, 2026 05:16:59 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
45h 34m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
128.5 km
28.5 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
11.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.13
Predicted M2.23 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
19.5 km
Pred. 5.0 km vs actual 14.5 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
7c8d6bbff6fde42c09a3b8c42aeb98fc861ae65491dade9b5eb79e01a7a92c67
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-34.44--118.15-t10337
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 08, 2026 07:42:46 PST
Source Batch
20260807_221041_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-08 07:42:46.984128+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.