Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
2.4 miles North-East of Ojai
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
2.4 miles North-East of Ojai
34.4766°N, 119.2193°W
Forecast Time Window
9th of August 2026
Aug 09, 2026 03:53:17 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
4.9 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
53h 33m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
116.8 km
16.8 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
1.3 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.17
Predicted M2.23 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
10.8 km
Pred. 4.9 km vs actual 5.9 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
1d827bd0e96fe757facffa31c64fc66723b3bf3eceaf60c773b43d110af25ef6
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-34.48--119.22-t10337
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 06, 2026 22:19:26 PST
Source Batch
20260806_124634_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-06 22:19:27.496612+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.