Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
1.5 miles North of Daggett
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
1.5 miles North of Daggett
34.8829°N, 116.8988°W
Forecast Time Window
10th of August 2026
Aug 10, 2026 17:32:00 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
130.4 km
30.4 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
21.6 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.35
Predicted M2.45 vs actual M2.1
Depth Error
14.3 km
Pred. 9.6 km vs actual 4.7 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
3b27c35c74c93f9d622a3dd787eab8aa304a4e5cd826e60c63684321ca17c277
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-34.88--116.90-t10337
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 10, 2026 18:11:05 PST
Source Batch
20260810_083745_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-10 18:11:06.766806+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.