Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M2.9
16.5 miles South-West of Madera
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
16.5 miles South-West of Madera
36.7790°N, 120.2530°W
Forecast Time Window
22nd of August 2026
Aug 22, 2026 00:22:49 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.9
Predicted value
Focal Depth
13.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
6h 20m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
01080d1c5fd0b69893b1774c855fed5969deaa4dc5692463226235418f70d296
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-36.78--120.25-t10343
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 21, 2026 18:02:47 PST
Source Batch
20260821_074312_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-21 18:02:48.380774+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

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