Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
6.5 miles South-West of Brentwood
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
6.5 miles South-West of Brentwood
37.8649°N, 121.7800°W
Forecast Time Window
7th of August 2026
Aug 07, 2026 06:03:01 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.6 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
7h 43m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
133.4 km
33.4 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
8.4 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.07
Predicted M2.47 vs actual M2.4
Depth Error
11.1 km
Pred. 9.6 km vs actual 1.5 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
d18c34f0421a6aed618195b2835dd372eca6b5a6b04d2edd38c978ed559f8b58
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-37.86--121.78-t10336
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 06, 2026 22:19:26 PST
Source Batch
20260806_124634_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-06 22:19:27.496612+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.