Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
10.2 miles South-West of Angels Camp
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
10.2 miles South-West of Angels Camp
37.9350°N, 120.6205°W
Forecast Time Window
8th of August 2026
Aug 08, 2026 01:16:12 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.5
Predicted value
Focal Depth
3.4 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
160.8 km
60.8 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
15.6 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.23
Predicted M2.47 vs actual M2.7
Depth Error
5.7 km
Pred. 3.4 km vs actual 2.2 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
2f222c9618fb95fe520674e233059619dd5e47d25b430721c93db2f8e3c3a144
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-37.94--120.62-t10336
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 08, 2026 04:01:31 PST
Source Batch
20260807_182918_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-08 04:01:32.694486+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.