Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
9.6 miles South-East of Bridgeport
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
9.6 miles South-East of Bridgeport
38.1855°N, 119.0788°W
Forecast Time Window
10th of August 2026
Aug 10, 2026 03:56:18 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
15.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
33h 8m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
260.7 km
160.7 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
1.3 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.30
Predicted M3.2 vs actual M2.9
Depth Error
20.0 km
Pred. 15.0 km vs actual 5.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
83aa5af528e352045b883bb5f0aedd6c31407c6597599557c402e58d23fad52b
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-38.19--119.08-t10337
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 08, 2026 18:47:49 PST
Source Batch
20260808_103321_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-07 20:34:54.161848+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.