Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
17.3 miles East of Bridgeport
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
17.3 miles East of Bridgeport
38.2178°N, 118.9161°W
Forecast Time Window
27th of July 2026
Jul 27, 2026 06:11:58 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.2
Predicted value
Focal Depth
9.1 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
122.9 km
22.9 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
10.0 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.24
Predicted M3.16 vs actual M3.4
Depth Error
19.1 km
Pred. 9.1 km vs actual 10.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
d2045f583f0e230ca5a6c7e3fe29f74f4eb6ba134131ff94ad693cf0d3a35d1e
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-38.22--118.92-t10330
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Jul 27, 2026 09:58:21 PST
Source Batch
20260727_025332_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-07-25 06:59:24.024244+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.