Permanent Prediction Record
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Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M2.8
3.1 miles South of Napa
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
3.1 miles South of Napa
38.2526°N, 122.2879°W
Forecast Time Window
17th of August 2026
Aug 17, 2026 12:44:19 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M2.8
Predicted value
Focal Depth
5.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
31h 53m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
d77b6b5d572e9b5aa95a5f167831d8834778e0d1d4fc49532951b2666c21e4b3
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-38.25--122.29-t10341
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 16, 2026 04:50:33 PST
Source Batch
20260815_191807_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-16 04:50:35.845122+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

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