Permanent Prediction Record
×
Window Elapsed
No Match Found
The forecast window has closed. No qualifying seismic event was recorded within the predicted parameters.
Predicted Magnitude
M3.0
11.3 miles North-East of Bridgeport
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
11.3 miles North-East of Bridgeport
38.3235°N, 119.0427°W
Forecast Time Window
7th of August 2026
Aug 07, 2026 13:47:27 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.0
Predicted value
Focal Depth
15.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
52h 11m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Nearest Recorded Event
⚠ Preliminary - subject to revision when the pipeline confirms the result
This is the recorded earthquake closest to qualifying. It fell outside one or more tolerances, so the prediction is graded a false positive. Parameters within tolerance are shown in green; those outside are in red.
Distance Error
272.8 km
172.8 km over 100 km limit
Time Error
0.7 h
Within 36 h tolerance
Magnitude Error
0.02
Predicted M2.98 vs actual M3.0
Depth Error
25.0 km
Pred. 15.0 km vs actual 10.0 km
Nearest Event Location
-
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
RETROSPECTIVE
d2c59dc56266af17f5dc4a8f7211bd0680e94d7da8225c2c281a6b4c519e1f41
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-38.32--119.04-t10336
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 05, 2026 09:35:49 PST
Source Batch
20260805_012128_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-05 09:35:52.768791+00:00
Amendment History
No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.