Permanent Prediction Record
◯
Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M3.9
18.6 miles South-West of Hawthorne NV
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
18.6 miles South-West of Hawthorne NV
38.3960°N, 118.9265°W
Forecast Time Window
23rd of August 2026
Aug 23, 2026 16:29:40 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.9
Predicted value
Focal Depth
15.0 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
306h 41m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256) RETROSPECTIVE
1b7c165c848c4c8b024f06c330e137a08e29d1c460c173db716e4bae35b914da
This prediction was ingested before fingerprinting was introduced. The value above is a retrospective fingerprint computed from the current stored fields - it reflects the current state, not a preserved original snapshot. Future predictions will carry an immutable fingerprint set at ingestion time.
Prediction ID
loc-38.40--118.93-t10344
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 10, 2026 21:47:53 PST
Source Batch
20260810_133321_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-09 05:48:04.143084+00:00
Amendment History

No amendments have been recorded for this prediction. Original values are unchanged.

View Track Record Live Predictions