Permanent Prediction Record
◯
Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
7.8 miles South-West of Lake Berryessa
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
7.8 miles South-West of Lake Berryessa
38.4995°N, 122.3128°W
Forecast Time Window
1st of September 2026
Sep 01, 2026 10:16:12 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.1
Predicted value
Focal Depth
10.7 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
417h 22m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
c72ca65f3f86a1ad6c3e7140b8b6e40611e02a775c71169c9485f99a710541c5
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-38.50--122.31-t10348
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 15, 2026 00:53:52 PST
Source Batch
20260815_203338_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-15 00:53:53.153594+00:00
Amendment History
Aug 15, 2026 00:51 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-09-01 10:16:12.335000+00:00 2026-09-01T10:16:12.335
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 00:51 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-15 00:53:52.227969+00:00 2026-08-15T07:51:02.639284+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 04:19 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-09-01 10:16:12.335000+00:00 2026-09-01T10:16:12.335
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 04:19 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-15 00:53:52.227969+00:00 2026-08-15T11:19:06.630841+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 07:48 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-09-01 10:16:12.335000+00:00 2026-09-01T10:16:12.335
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 07:48 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-15 00:53:52.227969+00:00 2026-08-15T14:48:08.267536+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 11:20 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
longitude -122.3128 -122.3131
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 11:20 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-09-01 10:16:12.335000+00:00 2026-09-01T10:16:12.335
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 11:20 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-15 00:53:52.227969+00:00 2026-08-15T18:17:17.427770+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 14:45 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
longitude -122.3128 -122.3131
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 14:45 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-09-01 10:16:12.335000+00:00 2026-09-01T10:16:12.335
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 14:45 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-15 00:53:52.227969+00:00 2026-08-15T21:45:37.215528+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 14:45 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-09-01 10:16:12.335000+00:00 2026-09-01T10:16:12.335
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 14:45 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-15 00:53:52.227969+00:00 2026-08-15T21:45:37.215528+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 21:50 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-09-01 10:16:12.335000+00:00 2026-09-01T10:16:12.335
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 21:50 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-15 00:53:52.227969+00:00 2026-08-16T04:50:33.612147+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
View Track Record Live Predictions