Permanent Prediction Record
◯
Outcome Pending

Prediction Pending

This prediction window has not yet elapsed. The outcome will be determined once the predicted time passes.

Predicted Magnitude
M3.9
44.4 miles South-West of Point Arena
Original Prediction Parameters
Predicted Location
44.4 miles South-West of Point Arena
38.5861°N, 124.4040°W
Forecast Time Window
8th of September 2026
Sep 08, 2026 22:58:03 PST
Predicted Magnitude
M3.9
Predicted value
Focal Depth
14.3 km
Below surface
Prediction Type
Prospective
Live forward-issued before the event
Lead Time
594h 35m
Advance notice before predicted event time
Location Map
Predicted epicentre
Evaluation Status
⏳ Outcome Pending
The predicted event window has not yet elapsed. Once the forecast time passes, this prediction will be evaluated against real seismic records from USGS and international networks. The page will update automatically when grading is complete.
Integrity & Provenance
Integrity Fingerprint (SHA-256)
7d0ef7bf1bc4dd7a5802e0ed818196fc8fe049301d9221e76f784a2aa8fd9775
Computed at ingestion from the original prediction values (ID, latitude, longitude, magnitude, event time, depth, run tag) and stored immutably. Any field changed after ingestion is recorded in the amendment log below.
Prediction ID
loc-38.59--124.40-t10352
Evaluation Protocol
v1
Model Version
v1
Prediction Type
Prospective
Publication Batch (UTC)
Aug 15, 2026 04:22:16 PST
Source Batch
20260815_170124_prediction_JSON_file.json
First Recorded (UTC)
2026-08-15 04:22:17.835354+00:00
Amendment History
Aug 15, 2026 00:51 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-09-08 22:58:03.804000+00:00 2026-09-08T22:58:03.804
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 00:51 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-15 04:22:16.844712+00:00 2026-08-15T07:51:02.639284+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 00:51 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
latitude 38.5861 38.5889
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 07:48 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-09-08 22:58:03.804000+00:00 2026-09-08T22:58:03.804
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 07:48 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
latitude 38.5861 38.5889
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 07:48 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-15 04:22:16.844712+00:00 2026-08-15T14:48:08.267536+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 18:17 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
event_time 2026-09-08 22:58:03.804000+00:00 2026-09-08T22:58:03.804
"pipeline re-ingest"
Aug 15, 2026 18:17 PST canonical_correction by pipeline
run_tag 2026-08-15 04:22:16.844712+00:00 2026-08-16T01:17:41.733769+00:00
"pipeline re-ingest"
View Track Record Live Predictions